China’s stock market’s are still trending higher. And yes they have been in that mode since January 2016. This is very similar to the U.S. market. But I do not believe that the Shanghai Composite or the Shenzhen Composite are in a new bull market.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index has been much stronger than either the Shanghai or Shenzhen. It’s most recent intermediate low was February 2016. If it takes out its May 2015 high I will need to revisit my scenario for the Hang Seng. But until then I am looking for it turn back down at any moment.
In the video below I walk thru all three indexes’ weekly and daily charts.Continue reading
The big event for the stock market this week was the Federal Reserve Meeting on Tuesday-Wednesday. On Wednesday the Federal Reserve announced no change to interest rates but did say they plan to wind down their $4.5 trillion balance sheet starting in October.
This is the balance sheet that they created thru the series of quantitative easings since the Financial Crisis. This $4.5 trillion balance sheet is made up of treasuries and mortgage backed securities.
So it is not unusual for the stock market to become a little cautious and tight during a Fed meeting but this tightness continued thru the remainder of the week. When you see the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) weekly chart in the video below, you will see why I am calling this a compression week. It is one of the smallest weekly trading ranges in several months.
Compression and expansion seem to cycle back and forth in the stock market. So now that we have had a compression week, I am watching for some fireworks to happen in the market…it may take a couple of weeks.
This is like a flag being waved saying ‘hello, the market is telling you something’. Like a big cat watching you. You never know when if is going to explode into action.
In the video I review the DJIA daily and weekly charts, look at one of my key indicators and review 3 key ETFs. This is just a brief snippet of what I provide my Insider Members in the Weekend Market Analysis video. Also in today’s video I review Apple (AAPL), Facebook (FB) and Netflix (NFLX).
Weight Watchers International (WTW) has been on a tear this year. Thru yesterday’s close of $43.13, it is up 277% from the 2016 close of $11.45. There has been tremendous volatility in this stock over the years. In 2015 it crashed below the financial crisis low, finally bottoming with a weekly close of $3.97.Continue reading
The stock market blasted off last Monday after Hurricane Irma turned out to be a little less damaging than expected and North Korea did not launch their missiles of September program, over the weekend. The rally continued a little less robustly into quad witching day on Friday.
The stock market was up on Friday even after North Korea launched another missile over Japan, around 5pm CT on Thursday. This was the second time in less than a month that North Korea launched a missile over Japan. I’m sure the folks in Japan love hearing the sirens go off and worrying about a nuclear bomb dropping on their heads.Continue reading
There is indeed a storm coming to Florida as hurricane Irma hits the state this weekend. I sincerely hope everyone’s family and friends will be safe. We are very concerned, as my in-laws are hunkered down in a community center in Palm Harbor (near Tampa Bay). The storms path is now headed directly over Tampa Bay as it heads north.
But there is also a storm coming to the stock market. It almost feels like the lull before the storm right now. Things can change very quickly. Today’s brief market update video is a snippet of what I review with my Insider Members. Continue reading
