Attached below is the very condensed version of what I provide to the Insider Members in their Weekend Market Analysis.
In this video I review the stock market’s price action by reviewing the NYSE Composite Index (NYA) and the Russell 2000 (RUT). I also review oil and gold and three key ETFs. Continue reading
In this short market wrap video I take a quick look at the New York Composite Index (NYA) and the McClellan Oscillator. I also look at gold and oil. This is a very condensed version of what the Insider Members get. Check out the membership page for more info.
Three stocks in focus today are Baidu (BIDU), E-commerce China Dangdang (DANG) and 58.com (WUBA). All are Chinese companies trading in the United States. BIDU has had one heck of a run but it looks like it is in for some corrective action.
The Shanghai Composite Index (SSEC) dropped over 5% today as a another leg down appears to be starting. China is cracking down on some brokerages and this was given as the cause for the break but the press always looks for some kind of justification.
The SSEC has been in rally mode since the low on August 26th. It now appears to have broken that uptrend. Today’s move is the largest down day since August 25th. Next potential support in the 3265 – 3302 range.
I’ve talked about the Baltic Dry Index many times before. This index is created by the London Baltic Exchange and tracks shipping rates around the globe. They call it a dry index because it measures the shipment of dry goods that are primarily considered raw material to either the production process or to products themselves.
Things like coal, iron ore, steel and cement. Material that drives the world’s economic engines.
The chart below shows that the Baltic Dry Index has just plunged to a new all-time low. In February it first broke to a new all-time low below the July 1986 level. But Friday the Baltic Dry Index fell even further to 498.
The Baltic Dry Index is seen as a leading economic indicator as it is clearly a reflection of the movement of the raw materials that drive economic expansion. Now the skeptics will say hold on here, the supply of ships also affects the price. And yes indeed it does.
And as the Baltic Dry Index rose to a record high in 2008, I can imagine the number of ships being built was increasing as they assume demand would go to the heavens. The experts are also quick to say that it takes about 2 years to build a new ship.
According to data attributed to IHS Global Limited, the orders for new dry bulk ships peaked around the end of 2008 and the peak in new ship construction occurred around spring of 2012…almost 4 years ago.
Yet the Baltic Dry Index has continued bouncing back forth drifting lower. And in February 2015 it plunged to an all-time low. This was followed by a bounce and new hope.
But now a plunge since the end of July has resulted in a new all-time low of 498 on Friday. I find it very interesting the recent plunge began about the time that China started devaluing its currency. The first devaluation occurred on August 11 and was the largest single drop in 20 years. Actions speak louder than words.
But no worries, the experts say it’s all because of a glut of ships.
There was a pause in the action today as the stock markets traded in a much narrower range and were a little mixed. The DJIA, SPX and NYA were all up just slightly but the Nasdaq and RUT were down. All eyes on China tonight as two key economic reports are released.
In tonight’s Weekday Market Wrap video I look at today’s price action and two trade ideas…Under Armour (UA) and Visa (V). I then review two new trade ideas on Alibaba (BABA) and Caterpillar (CAT). Continue reading
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