Tag Archives for " EEM "

no September weakness

No September Weakness | Stock Market Update

September has historically been a very weak month for the stock market, but there was no September weakness this year.  The stock market is extended. Can it keep trending up? Yes.  Can it turn south in a New York minute? Yes.

Today’s video focuses on the S&P 500 (SPX), looking at the daily, weekly and monthly charts. I also look at the VIX, the Homebuilders ETF (XHB), the Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) and finally Gold ETF (GLD). Gold put in a very interesting pattern for September.   Continue reading

Emerging Markets…Are the Best Days Behind Them?

In this post I look at the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM).  This is a highly liquid ETF that trades at a 50-day average of 75 million shares a day. Of the top ten holdings, six are from China, 2 from Taiwan, 1 from South Korea and 1 from South Africa.

So there is a fairly strong exposure to China. In fact of all EEM’s holdings, China has the largest percentage of any country at 27.07%. You get exposure to companies like Tencent Holdings Ltd., Alibaba Group Holding ADR, China Mobile Ltd., China Construction Bank Corp, Baidu ADR and Industrial & Commercial Bank of China.

In the charts below I first look at the weekly chart of EEM then at the daily chart. Continue reading

China Anxiety

China Anxiety

Daily Chart thru Mar. 9

The latest economic news out of China is about imports and exports. The February merchandise trade surplus was $32.6 billion versus an estimate of $48.7 billion.

Lots of Red

Exports tumbled 25.4% from a year ago while imports shrank 13.8%. On a  seasonally adjusted basis, exports shrank 19.9% in February after falling 15.9% in January. The following image comes from an article that further discusses the numbers. Continue reading

Friday Afternoon Selloff

Bear market waking upThe S&P 500 (SPX) was up 20 points at its high on Friday then switched into reverse and closed down .90 points in a Friday afternoon selloff.  The market had rallied in the morning supposedly because Janet Yellen’s speech late afternoon Thursday, left the door a little more open for a rate hike.

But in reality her speech didn’t really offer much different from the rational she gave around not raising the previous week. And talking about her speech. You really need to watch this 3 minute clip of her speech. It is at the very end of her speech.

She cut short her speech after clearly struggling.  She did go on to dinner after being checked by the university medical staff that evening. She was back in Washington D.C. on Friday. The Fed would not comment further on Friday. 

Also affecting the market on Friday was the High Yield Bond ETF (HYG) and the biotech sector. HYG continued strongly down, closing the week at its lowest close in nearly 4 years. IBB, the Nasdaq Biotech ETF had the biggest weekly drop since August 2011.

The market bounce Friday morning was a continuation of a move that actually started Thursday morning. This was a retracement of the last 5 days down that started late Thursday afternoon on Sept. 17th and ended Thursday morning at 9:30am CT.

In today’s Weekend Market Analysis video I look at yesterday’s price action and for the week. I also look at the last 6-7 days on an hourly basis to see what it is telling us. In addition to our normal ETFs I review the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM).  Stocks in focus are Celgene (CELG) and Gilead Sciences (GILD). Continue reading

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